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Results to Sun 25 Oct. 109 of 482 matches played. Nothing has been played since.
Al Ain Academy leads the race to go up at 67%.
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Exp | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 5 | +17 | 19 | 68.0 | WWWDW | at Phoenix United | |
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 19 | 66.5 | WDLWW | at Al Wahda II | |
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 2 | +11 | 16 | 66.2 | WWWDW | v Desert Falcon | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +7 | 15 | 63.5 | WWWWL | v Maracuja | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 15 | 61.1 | LWWWW | at Al Shahama | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | +5 | 12 | 49.3 | LWWWW | at Arabian Falcons II | |
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 12 | 48.8 | WWLWL | v Irish | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 11 | 43.1 | LLWLD | v Al Fath | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | +5 | 10 | 46.4 | LLDWW | v Stryx FC | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 10 | 51.7 | WLDWW | at PASS | |
| 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 10 | 48.6 | WLWWD | v Maracuja | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 7 | 34.9 | DWWLL | at Circle Football | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 | 36.2 | WLLLL | v Stryx FC | |
| 14 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | -11 | 2 | 24.1 | DLLLL | at Al Madinah Wanderers | |
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | -11 | 2 | 23.9 | DDLLL | v Stallions | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 22 | -18 | 1 | 21.6 | LLLLL | v Phoenix United | |
| 17 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 23 | -22 | 0 | 17.9 | LLLLL | at Olympic |
| Pos | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Exp | Form | Next |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 5 | +21 | 21 | 68.6 | WWWWW | at AFC | |
| 2 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 3 | +19 | 21 | 66.9 | WWWWW | at Golden Star | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 8 | +11 | 18 | 62.9 | WWWWW | v Fursan Hispania II | |
| 4 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 5 | +20 | 15 | 57.3 | LWWWW | v Emerald | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +4 | 12 | 50.7 | WWLLW | at Madenat | |
| 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 12 | 48.9 | WLLWW | v Al Hiyar | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 9 | 40.1 | WLWLL | at United Sports | |
| 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 9 | 33.5 | WLLWW | at Granados | |
| 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 | 35.6 | LWWLL | v Al Ain Academy | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 31 | -16 | 8 | 31.2 | WDDLL | v G Reds | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 7 | 30.8 | WLDWL | at Al Ain Academy | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 18 | -11 | 4 | 23.3 | LLLDW | at Dubai City II | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 3 | 19.9 | LLLLL | at Al Ittifaq II | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 17 | -12 | 3 | 19.7 | WLLLL | v Granados | |
| 15 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 0 | 12.9 | LLLLL | v Al Hiyar |
The UAE FA has not published what follows the group stage, so the top two of each group are shown as going up. Four up against two down from the Second Division is what that assumption implies, not a published rule.
Click a club to follow it through the charts below.
Measured on 33 club-seasons from 2 past seasons: twenty rounds in, expected points were out by 4.6 on average, and the 80% range held 72% of the time. How this is measured
Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.
Pick results for any club's remaining matches, one club at a time or several at once. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.
| Outlook | Now | With these results |
|---|---|---|
| Title | 41% | 41%· |
| Play-offs | 67% | 67%· |
| Top four | 93% | 93%· |
| Expected final points | 68.6 | 68.6· |
| Pos | Club | Expected | Title | Play-offs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68.6· | 41%· | 67%· | |
| 2 | 66.9· | 33%· | 59%· | |
| 3 | 62.9· | 16%· | 40%· | |
| 4 | 57.3· | 7%· | 21%· | |
| 5 | 50.7· | 2%· | 7%· | |
| 6 | 48.9· | 1%· | 5%· | |
| 7 | 40.1· | <1%· | 1%· | |
| 8 | 35.6· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 9 | 33.5· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 10 | 31.2· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 11 | 30.8· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 12 | 23.3· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 13 | 19.9· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 14 | 19.7· | <1%· | <1%· | |
| 15 | 12.9· | <1%· | <1%· |
Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.
Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.
Fixtures still to play, with the chance of each result.
Percentages on the coming round: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win, from the same simulation as the season forecast. Only the next round carries them, because the further ahead a match is the less the forecast knows about it.
The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 8.
One line per club. The upright line marks the round the slider is on.
Expected final points now against the pre-season forecast, after round 8.
The three fixtures in this round whose result moves the table most, and what each outcome would do.
| If it ends | Win | Draw | Lose | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-offs | 50% | 32% | 22% | 39% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Play-offs | 51% | 33% | 24% | 40% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| If it ends | Win | Draw | Lose | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-offs | 15% | 7% | 3% | 8% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Play-offs | 53% | 37% | 28% | 45% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| If it ends | Win | Draw | Lose | Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-offs | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Play-offs | 63% | 47% | 39% | 59% |
| Goes down | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.
Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.
The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.
Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.
Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.
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