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Third Division 2026-27

Updated 2026-09-09. 5 of 512 matches played.

After round 1
5101520253034

ISE leads the race to go up at 24%.

Group A

ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsExpFormNext
1Desert Falcon110031+2355.8Wv Circle Football
2Al Jazira II110020+2356.8Wv Al Wahda II
3Al Shahama110032+1350.4Wat Stallions
4ISE110021+1357.0Wv Al Madinah Wanderers
5Al Madinah Wanderers0000000039.4v Stryx FC
6Al Wahda II0000000046.6at Al Jazira II
7Circle Football0000000041.8v Maracuja
8Maracuja0000000046.3at Circle Football
9Olympic0000000043.4v Stallions
10PASS0000000046.4v Phoenix United
11Phoenix United0000000046.5at PASS
12Stallions0000000046.3at Olympic
13Stryx FC0000000046.8at Al Madinah Wanderers
14Red Castle100123-1037.3Lv PASS
15Al Fath100112-1037.6Lat Maracuja
16Irish100113-2033.6Lat Circle Football
17Arabian Falcons II100102-2037.3Lat Phoenix United

Group B

ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsExpFormNext
1G Reds110030+3348.4Wat Emerald
2AFC0000000039.6v Al Ain Academy
3Al Ain Academy0000000044.0at AFC
4Al Hiyar0000000044.3at United Sports
5Al Ittifaq II0000000044.3at Golden Star
6Alesa0000000043.9at Fursan Hispania II
7Dragon City0000000039.9v Frank
8Dubai City II0000000038.0v Emerald
9Emerald0000000042.4at Dubai City II
10Frank0000000044.2at Dragon City
11Fursan Hispania II0000000044.3v Alesa
12Golden Star0000000044.1v Al Ittifaq II
13Granados0000000043.9at Madenat
14Madenat0000000039.4v Granados
15United Sports0000000041.9v Al Hiyar
16SMA Al Mohtarefeen100103-3035.4Lv United Sports
Top two

The UAE FA has not published what follows the group stage, so the top two of each group are shown as going up. Four up against two down from the Second Division is what that assumption implies, not a published rule.

Click a club to follow it through the charts below.

What if

Pick results for any club's remaining matches, one club at a time or several at once. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

ISE
R2Al Madinah WanderersHSun 13 Sep
R3OlympicASat 19 Sep
R4Al ShahamaHFri 25 Sep
R5PASSAFri 2 Oct
R6Arabian Falcons IIHSun 11 Oct
R7Al Wahda IIAFri 16 Oct
R8Al Jazira IIHFri 23 Oct
R9Phoenix UnitedAFri 30 Oct
R10Red CastleHFri 6 Nov
R11StallionsASat 21 Nov
R12Stryx FCHFri 27 Nov
R14MaracujaASat 12 Dec
R15Desert FalconHFri 18 Dec
R16IrishASun 27 Dec
R17Circle FootballHFri 1 Jan
R18Al FathHFri 5 Feb
R19Al Madinah WanderersASun 14 Feb
R20OlympicHFri 19 Feb
R21Al ShahamaASat 27 Feb
R22PASSHSat 6 Mar
R23Arabian Falcons IIASun 14 Mar
R24Al Wahda IIHFri 19 Mar
R25Al Jazira IIASat 27 Mar
R26Phoenix UnitedHFri 2 Apr
R27Red CastleASat 10 Apr
R28StallionsHFri 16 Apr
R29Stryx FCASun 25 Apr
R31MaracujaHFri 7 May
R32Desert FalconAFri 14 May
R33IrishHFri 21 May
R34Circle FootballASun 30 May
NowWith these results
Title13%13%·
Top two24%24%·
Top four44%44%·
Expected final points57.057.0·

Group A with these results

ClubExpected TitleTop two
1ISE 57.0· 13%·24%·
2Al Jazira II 56.8· 13%·24%·
3Desert Falcon 55.8· 12%·23%·
4Al Shahama 50.4· 7%·14%·
5Stryx FC 46.8· 7%·13%·
6Al Wahda II 46.6· 6%·13%·
7Phoenix United 46.5· 6%·13%·
8PASS 46.4· 7%·13%·
9Stallions 46.3· 6%·12%·
10Maracuja 46.3· 6%·12%·
11Olympic 43.4· 5%·10%·
12Circle Football 41.8· 4%·8%·
13Al Madinah Wanderers 39.4· 3%·7%·
14Al Fath 37.6· 1%·4%·
15Arabian Falcons II 37.3· 2%·4%·
16Red Castle 37.3· 1%·4%·
17Irish 33.6· 1%·3%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.

Round 2

Every fixture ›

Fixtures still to play, with the chance of each result.

Fri 11 Sep#3Desert FalconCircle Football57%17%26%
Fri 11 SepEmeraldG Reds39%18%43%
Fri 11 SepAl Ittifaq IIFursan Hispania II44%18%38%
Sat 12 SepMaracujaAl Fath52%17%31%
Sat 12 SepStallionsAl Shahama42%18%40%
Sat 12 SepRed CastlePASS36%18%47%
Sat 12 SepPhoenix UnitedArabian Falcons II52%17%31%
Sat 12 SepAl Ain AcademyGolden Star44%18%38%
Sat 12 SepGranadosDragon City49%17%34%
Sun 13 Sep#2ISEAl Madinah Wanderers60%16%24%
Sun 13 SepStryx FCOlympic47%17%36%
Sun 13 Sep#1Al Jazira IIAl Wahda II54%17%29%
Sun 13 SepFrankAFC48%17%34%
Sun 13 SepAl HiyarMadenat50%17%33%
Sun 13 SepSMA Al MohtarefeenUnited Sports38%18%44%
Sun 13 SepAlesaDubai City II51%17%32%

Percentages on the coming round: the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win, from the same simulation as the season forecast. Only the next round carries them, because the further ahead a match is the less the forecast knows about it.

Results

Fri 4 SepG Reds3-0SMA Al Mohtarefeen
Sat 5 SepIrish1-3Desert Falcon
Sat 5 SepAl Shahama3-2Red Castle
Sun 6 SepAl Fath1-2ISE
Sun 6 SepArabian Falcons II0-2Al Jazira II

Clubs

Click any club in the table or on a chart to see its card here.

AFCAl Ain AcademyAl FathAl HiyarAl Ittifaq IIAl Jazira IIAl Madinah WanderersAl ShahamaAl Wahda IIAlesaArabian Falcons IICircle FootballDesert FalconDragon CityDubai City IIEmeraldFrankFursan Hispania IIG RedsGolden StarGranadosIrishISEMadenatMaracujaOlympicPASSPhoenix UnitedRed CastleSMA Al MohtarefeenStallionsStryx FCUnited Sports

What this round changed

The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 1.

G Reds beat SMA Al Mohtarefeen 3-0+10.6Top two 8% to 18%
ISE beat Al Fath 2-1+10.3Top two 13% to 24%
Al Jazira II beat Arabian Falcons II 2-0+10.0Top two 13% to 24%
Al Shahama beat Red Castle 3-2+9.9Top two 8% to 14%
Red Castle lost to Al Shahama 2-3−9.6Top two 13% to 4%

The matches that matter next

The three fixtures in this round whose result moves the table most, and what each outcome would do.

#1
Al Jazira II going up: 9% to 35%, depending on the result.
If it endsWinDrawLoseNow
Al Jazira II
Top two35%17%9%24%
Goes down0%0%0%0%
Al Wahda II
Top two25%10%5%13%
Goes down0%0%0%0%
#2
ISE going up: 9% to 31%, depending on the result.
If it endsWinDrawLoseNow
ISE
Top two31%15%9%24%
Goes down0%0%0%0%
Al Madinah Wanderers
Top two17%5%2%7%
Goes down0%0%0%0%
#3
Desert Falcon going up: 9% to 31%, depending on the result.
If it endsWinDrawLoseNow
Desert Falcon
Top two31%15%9%23%
Goes down0%0%0%0%
Circle Football
Top two19%6%3%8%
Goes down0%0%0%0%

How tight the table is

Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.

30405060Top twoIrishSMA Al MohtarefeenRed CastleArabian Falcons IIAl FathDubai City IIMadenatAl Madinah WanderersAFCDragon CityCircle FootballUnited SportsEmeraldOlympicAlesaGranadosAl Ain AcademyGolden StarFrankAl HiyarFursan Hispania IIAl Ittifaq IIMaracujaStallionsPASSPhoenix UnitedAl Wahda IIStryx FCG RedsAl ShahamaDesert FalconAl Jazira IIISE

Expected points, round by round

One line per club. The upright line marks the round the slider is on.

30405060StartR1ISEAl Jazira IIDesert FalconAl ShahamaG RedsStryx FCAl Wahda IIPhoenix UnitedPASSStallionsMaracujaAl Ittifaq IIAl HiyarFursan Hispania IIFrankGolden StarAl Ain AcademyAlesaGranadosOlympicEmeraldUnited SportsCircle FootballDragon CityAFCAl Madinah WanderersMadenatDubai City IIAl FathArabian Falcons IIRed CastleSMA Al MohtarefeenIrish
every other clubthe round on the slider

What has changed since the summer

Expected final points now against the pre-season forecast, after round 1.

-15-10-50+5+10+15G Reds1G Reds: +10.6+10.637.9 → 48.4ISE5ISE: +10.3+10.346.7 → 57.0Al Jazira II3Al Jazira II: +10.0+10.046.8 → 56.8Al Shahama4Al Shahama: +9.9+9.940.5 → 50.4Desert Falcon2Desert Falcon: +9.0+9.046.8 → 55.8AFC6AFC: +0.3+0.339.3 → 39.6Al Ittifaq II9Al Ittifaq II: +0.2+0.244.1 → 44.3Emerald16Emerald: +0.2+0.242.2 → 42.4Fursan Hispania II18Fursan Hispania II: +0.0+0.044.2 → 44.3Stryx FC27Stryx FC: +0.0+0.046.7 → 46.8Frank17Frank: +0.0+0.044.2 → 44.2Al Ain Academy7Al Ain Academy: -0.1-0.144.1 → 44.0United Sports28United Sports: -0.1-0.142.1 → 41.9Al Hiyar8Al Hiyar: -0.1-0.144.4 → 44.3Al Madinah Wanderers10Al Madinah Wanderers: -0.2-0.239.6 → 39.4Circle Football13Circle Football: -0.2-0.242.0 → 41.8Alesa12Alesa: -0.2-0.244.1 → 43.9Olympic23Olympic: -0.2-0.243.6 → 43.4Golden Star19Golden Star: -0.2-0.244.4 → 44.1Phoenix United25Phoenix United: -0.3-0.346.8 → 46.5Al Wahda II11Al Wahda II: -0.3-0.346.9 → 46.6Granados20Granados: -0.3-0.344.3 → 43.9Madenat21Madenat: -0.4-0.439.8 → 39.4PASS24PASS: -0.4-0.446.8 → 46.4Dragon City14Dragon City: -0.4-0.440.3 → 39.9Stallions26Stallions: -0.5-0.546.8 → 46.3Dubai City II15Dubai City II: -0.6-0.638.5 → 38.0Maracuja22Maracuja: -0.6-0.646.9 → 46.3Irish31Irish: -7.9-7.941.5 → 33.6SMA Al Mohtarefeen33SMA Al Mohtarefeen: -8.8-8.844.2 → 35.4Al Fath30Al Fath: -8.9-8.946.5 → 37.6Arabian Falcons II32Arabian Falcons II: -9.5-9.546.8 → 37.3Red Castle29Red Castle: -9.6-9.646.9 → 37.3
How to read this page

The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.

Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.

The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.

Follow

Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.

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