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Desert Falcon

2nd in the table · 19 Pts · Third Division 2026-27

Desert Falcon are 2nd in the Third Division with 19 points, 8 of 32 matches played. The forecast gives them 40% for a play-off place.

This season

21%
chance of the title
40%
Play-offs
68%
Top four
66.5
expected final points
Record
8 played: 6 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
Goals
18-10 (+8)
Home
3-0-1
Away
3-1-0
Form
WWDLWW
Likely final total
53 - 79
Expected before the season
46.7
Better than expected by
+0.87 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
2030405060708090startR5R8

Results and fixtures

R1Sat 5 SepIrish1-3Desert Falcon
R3Sun 20 SepAl Fath2-3Desert Falcon
R5Sat 3 OctOlympic0-0Desert Falcon
R7Fri 16 OctPASS1-2Desert Falcon
R9Fri 30 OctAl Wahda II17:00GSTDesert Falcon
R10Fri 6 NovDesert Falcon21:00GSTAl Jazira II
R11Sat 21 NovPhoenix United20:00GSTDesert Falcon
R12Fri 27 NovDesert Falcon21:00GSTRed Castle
R13Fri 4 DecStallions21:00GSTDesert Falcon
R14Fri 11 DecDesert Falcon21:00GSTStryx FC
R15Fri 18 DecISE21:00GSTDesert Falcon
R16Fri 25 DecDesert Falcon21:00GSTMaracuja
R18Fri 5 FebDesert Falcon21:00GSTIrish
R19Sun 14 FebCircle Football21:30GSTDesert Falcon
R20Fri 19 FebDesert Falcon21:30GSTAl Fath
R22Fri 5 MarDesert Falcon21:30GSTOlympic
R23Sat 13 MarAl Shahama21:30GSTDesert Falcon
R24Fri 19 MarDesert Falcon21:00GSTPASS
R25Sun 28 MarArabian Falcons II20:00GSTDesert Falcon
R26Fri 2 AprDesert Falcon21:00GSTAl Wahda II
R27Fri 9 AprAl Jazira II17:55GSTDesert Falcon
R28Fri 16 AprDesert Falcon21:00GSTPhoenix United
R29Sat 24 AprRed Castle19:00GSTDesert Falcon
R30Fri 30 AprDesert Falcon21:00GSTStallions
R31Sun 9 MayStryx FC20:00GSTDesert Falcon
R32Fri 14 MayDesert Falcon21:00GSTISE
R33Sat 22 MayMaracuja21:00GSTDesert Falcon

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Desert Falcon
R9Al Wahda IIAFri 30 Oct
R10Al Jazira IIHFri 6 Nov
R11Phoenix UnitedASat 21 Nov
R12Red CastleHFri 27 Nov
R13StallionsAFri 4 Dec
R14Stryx FCHFri 11 Dec
R15ISEAFri 18 Dec
R16MaracujaHFri 25 Dec
R18IrishHFri 5 Feb
R19Circle FootballASun 14 Feb
R20Al FathHFri 19 Feb
R21Al Madinah WanderersAFri 26 Feb
R22OlympicHFri 5 Mar
R23Al ShahamaASat 13 Mar
R24PASSHFri 19 Mar
R25Arabian Falcons IIASun 28 Mar
R26Al Wahda IIHFri 2 Apr
R27Al Jazira IIAFri 9 Apr
R28Phoenix UnitedHFri 16 Apr
R29Red CastleASat 24 Apr
R30StallionsHFri 30 Apr
R31Stryx FCASun 9 May
R32ISEHFri 14 May
R33MaracujaASat 22 May
OutlookNowWith these results
Title21%21%·
Play-offs40%40%·
Top four68%68%·
Expected final points66.566.5·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

19
Taken so far
+
46.7
Still expected
=
65.7
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
PASS1-23 pts2.5080 · 10 · 75.50
Al Madinah Wanderers2.1667 · 16 · 171-03 pts5.16
Stallions2.4879 · 10 · 82.5482 · 8 · 65.02
Irish1-33 pts1.9860 · 18 · 224.98
Stryx FC2.3775 · 13 · 112.4879 · 10 · 84.85
Circle Football1.8355 · 19 · 263-03 pts4.83
Arabian Falcons II1.8053 · 19 · 274-23 pts4.80
Al Fath2-33 pts1.6749 · 20 · 314.67
Maracuja2.1466 · 16 · 172.3072 · 14 · 134.44
Red Castle1.8555 · 19 · 252.0462 · 17 · 203.89
Phoenix United1.7050 · 20 · 301.9057 · 18 · 243.60
Olympic0-01 pts2.5080 · 10 · 73.50
Al Jazira II1.3839 · 21 · 401.5946 · 20 · 342.97
Al Wahda II1.3137 · 21 · 431.5043 · 20 · 362.80
ISE1.2635 · 20 · 441.4742 · 21 · 372.73
Al Shahama1.9659 · 18 · 222-40 pts1.96

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 66.5; the two differ only by simulation noise.

Group A with these results

PosClubExpected TitlePlay-offs
1ISE 68.0· 25%·45%·
2Desert Falcon 66.5· 21%·40%·
3Al Wahda II 66.2· 21%·39%·
4Al Jazira II 63.5· 15%·30%·
5Al Fath 61.1· 10%·22%·
6Phoenix United 51.7· 3%·8%·
7Irish 49.3· 1%·4%·
8Arabian Falcons II 48.8· 1%·3%·
9Circle Football 48.6· 2%·5%·
10Red Castle 46.4· 1%·2%·
11Al Shahama 43.1· <1%·1%·
12Al Madinah Wanderers 36.2· <1%·<1%·
13Maracuja 34.9· <1%·<1%·
14Stryx FC 24.1· <1%·<1%·
15Olympic 23.9· <1%·<1%·
16PASS 21.6· <1%·<1%·
17Stallions 17.9· <1%·<1%·

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.