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Desert Falcon

1st in the table · 3 Pts · Third Division 2026-27

Desert Falcon are 1st in the Third Division with 3 points, 1 of 32 matches played. The forecast gives them 23% for a top-two finish.

This season

12%
chance of the title
23%
Top two
41%
Top four
55.8
expected final points
Record
1 played: 1 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
Goals
3-1 (+2)
Home
0-0-0
Away
1-0-0
Form
W
Likely final total
31 - 79
Expected before the season
46.8
Better than expected by
+1.53 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
20304050607080startR1

Season by season

SeasonDivisionPosPWDLGDPtsOutcome
2026-27Third Division Group A111100%00%00%+23100%In progress

Results and fixtures

R1Sat 5 SepIrish1-3Desert Falcon
R2Fri 11 SepDesert Falcon·Circle Football
R3Sun 20 SepAl Fath·Desert Falcon
R4Fri 25 SepDesert Falcon·Al Madinah Wanderers
R5Sat 3 OctOlympic·Desert Falcon
R6Fri 9 OctDesert Falcon·Al Shahama
R7Fri 16 OctPASS·Desert Falcon
R8Fri 23 OctDesert Falcon·Arabian Falcons II
R9Fri 30 OctAl Wahda II·Desert Falcon
R10Fri 6 NovDesert Falcon·Al Jazira II
R11Sat 21 NovPhoenix United·Desert Falcon
R12Fri 27 NovDesert Falcon·Red Castle
R13Fri 4 DecStallions·Desert Falcon
R14Fri 11 DecDesert Falcon·Stryx FC
R15Fri 18 DecISE·Desert Falcon
R16Fri 25 DecDesert Falcon·Maracuja
R18Fri 5 FebDesert Falcon·Irish
R19Sun 14 FebCircle Football·Desert Falcon
R20Fri 19 FebDesert Falcon·Al Fath
R21Fri 26 FebAl Madinah Wanderers·Desert Falcon
R22Fri 5 MarDesert Falcon·Olympic
R23Sat 13 MarAl Shahama·Desert Falcon
R24Fri 19 MarDesert Falcon·PASS
R25Sun 28 MarArabian Falcons II·Desert Falcon
R26Fri 2 AprDesert Falcon·Al Wahda II
R27Fri 9 AprAl Jazira II·Desert Falcon
R28Fri 16 AprDesert Falcon·Phoenix United
R29Sat 24 AprRed Castle·Desert Falcon
R30Fri 30 AprDesert Falcon·Stallions
R31Sun 9 MayStryx FC·Desert Falcon
R32Fri 14 MayDesert Falcon·ISE
R33Sat 22 MayMaracuja·Desert Falcon

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Desert Falcon
R2Circle FootballHFri 11 Sep
R3Al FathASun 20 Sep
R4Al Madinah WanderersHFri 25 Sep
R5OlympicASat 3 Oct
R6Al ShahamaHFri 9 Oct
R7PASSAFri 16 Oct
R8Arabian Falcons IIHFri 23 Oct
R9Al Wahda IIAFri 30 Oct
R10Al Jazira IIHFri 6 Nov
R11Phoenix UnitedASat 21 Nov
R12Red CastleHFri 27 Nov
R13StallionsAFri 4 Dec
R14Stryx FCHFri 11 Dec
R15ISEAFri 18 Dec
R16MaracujaHFri 25 Dec
R18IrishHFri 5 Feb
R19Circle FootballASun 14 Feb
R20Al FathHFri 19 Feb
R21Al Madinah WanderersAFri 26 Feb
R22OlympicHFri 5 Mar
R23Al ShahamaASat 13 Mar
R24PASSHFri 19 Mar
R25Arabian Falcons IIASun 28 Mar
R26Al Wahda IIHFri 2 Apr
R27Al Jazira IIAFri 9 Apr
R28Phoenix UnitedHFri 16 Apr
R29Red CastleASat 24 Apr
R30StallionsHFri 30 Apr
R31Stryx FCASun 9 May
R32ISEHFri 14 May
R33MaracujaASat 22 May
NowWith these results
Title12%12%·
Top two23%23%·
Top four41%41%·
Expected final points55.855.8·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

3
Taken so far
+
52.1
Still expected
=
55.1
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Irish1-33 pts2.0563 · 15 · 205.05
Red Castle1.7854 · 17 · 281.9660 · 16 · 233.74
Al Fath1.7753 · 17 · 291.9560 · 16 · 233.73
Arabian Falcons II1.7753 · 17 · 291.9560 · 16 · 233.73
Al Madinah Wanderers1.7452 · 17 · 301.9159 · 16 · 243.65
Circle Football1.6850 · 17 · 321.8857 · 17 · 263.55
Olympic1.6349 · 17 · 331.8155 · 17 · 283.45
Al Wahda II1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
Maracuja1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
PASS1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
Phoenix United1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
Stallions1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
Stryx FC1.5446 · 18 · 361.7352 · 17 · 303.27
Al Shahama1.4643 · 18 · 391.6549 · 18 · 333.11
Al Jazira II1.2837 · 18 · 451.4743 · 18 · 392.75
ISE1.2837 · 18 · 451.4743 · 18 · 392.75

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 55.8; the two differ only by simulation noise.

Group A with these results

ClubExpected TitleTop two
1ISE 57.0· 13%·24%·
2Al Jazira II 56.8· 13%·24%·
3Desert Falcon 55.8· 12%·23%·
4Al Shahama 50.4· 7%·14%·
5Stryx FC 46.8· 7%·13%·
6Al Wahda II 46.6· 6%·13%·
7Phoenix United 46.5· 6%·13%·
8PASS 46.4· 7%·13%·
9Stallions 46.3· 6%·12%·
10Maracuja 46.3· 6%·12%·
11Olympic 43.4· 5%·10%·
12Circle Football 41.8· 4%·8%·
13Al Madinah Wanderers 39.4· 3%·7%·
14Al Fath 37.6· 1%·4%·
15Arabian Falcons II 37.3· 2%·4%·
16Red Castle 37.3· 1%·4%·
17Irish 33.6· 1%·3%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.

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