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Al Fath

15th in the table · 0 Pts · Third Division 2026-27

Al Fath are 15th in the Third Division with 0 points, 1 of 32 matches played. The forecast gives them 4% for a top-two finish.

This season

1%
chance of the title
4%
Top two
11%
Top four
37.6
expected final points
Record
1 played: 0 won, 0 drawn, 1 lost
Goals
1-2 (-1)
Home
0-0-1
Away
0-0-0
Form
L
Likely final total
16 - 61
Expected before the season
46.5
Better than expected by
-1.49 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
15253545556575startR1

Season by season

SeasonDivisionPosPWDLGDPtsOutcome
2026-27Third Division Group A15100%00%1100%-100%In progress
2025-26Second Division1326623%312%1765%-232127%Relegated
2024-25Second Division1224417%14%1979%-471318%
2023-24Second Division1226519%415%1765%-361924%
2022-23Second Division718422%739%739%-81935%
2021-22Second Division1120210%00%1890%-65610%
Last 5 seasons22.84.218%3.013%15.668%-35.815.623%per seasonof matches
2020-21Second Division Group A213969%00%431%+212769%
2019-20Second Division616744%213%744%-12348%

Results and fixtures

R1Sun 6 SepAl Fath1-2ISE
R2Sat 12 SepMaracuja·Al Fath
R3Sun 20 SepAl Fath·Desert Falcon
R4Sat 26 SepIrish·Al Fath
R5Sun 4 OctAl Fath·Circle Football
R7Fri 16 OctAl Madinah Wanderers·Al Fath
R8Sun 25 OctAl Fath·Olympic
R9Sat 31 OctAl Shahama·Al Fath
R10Sun 8 NovAl Fath·PASS
R11Sun 22 NovArabian Falcons II·Al Fath
R12Sun 29 NovAl Fath·Al Wahda II
R13Sat 5 DecAl Jazira II·Al Fath
R14Sun 13 DecAl Fath·Phoenix United
R15Sat 19 DecRed Castle·Al Fath
R16Thu 24 DecAl Fath·Stallions
R17Sun 3 JanStryx FC·Al Fath
R18Fri 5 FebISE·Al Fath
R19Sun 14 FebAl Fath·Maracuja
R20Fri 19 FebDesert Falcon·Al Fath
R21Sun 28 FebAl Fath·Irish
R22Sun 7 MarCircle Football·Al Fath
R24Sun 21 MarAl Fath·Al Madinah Wanderers
R25Sat 27 MarOlympic·Al Fath
R26Sun 4 AprAl Fath·Al Shahama
R27Sun 11 AprPASS·Al Fath
R28Sun 18 AprAl Fath·Arabian Falcons II
R29Sun 25 AprAl Wahda II·Al Fath
R30Sun 2 MayAl Fath·Al Jazira II
R31Fri 7 MayPhoenix United·Al Fath
R32Sun 16 MayAl Fath·Red Castle
R33Sat 22 MayStallions·Al Fath
R34Sun 30 MayAl Fath·Stryx FC

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Al Fath
R2MaracujaASat 12 Sep
R3Desert FalconHSun 20 Sep
R4IrishASat 26 Sep
R5Circle FootballHSun 4 Oct
R7Al Madinah WanderersAFri 16 Oct
R8OlympicHSun 25 Oct
R9Al ShahamaASat 31 Oct
R10PASSHSun 8 Nov
R11Arabian Falcons IIASun 22 Nov
R12Al Wahda IIHSun 29 Nov
R13Al Jazira IIASat 5 Dec
R14Phoenix UnitedHSun 13 Dec
R15Red CastleASat 19 Dec
R16StallionsHThu 24 Dec
R17Stryx FCASun 3 Jan
R18ISEAFri 5 Feb
R19MaracujaHSun 14 Feb
R20Desert FalconAFri 19 Feb
R21IrishHSun 28 Feb
R22Circle FootballASun 7 Mar
R24Al Madinah WanderersHSun 21 Mar
R25OlympicASat 27 Mar
R26Al ShahamaHSun 4 Apr
R27PASSASun 11 Apr
R28Arabian Falcons IIHSun 18 Apr
R29Al Wahda IIASun 25 Apr
R30Al Jazira IIHSun 2 May
R31Phoenix UnitedAFri 7 May
R32Red CastleHSun 16 May
R33StallionsASat 22 May
R34Stryx FCHSun 30 May
NowWith these results
Title1%1%·
Top two4%4%·
Top four11%11%·
Expected final points37.637.6·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

0
Taken so far
+
37.4
Still expected
=
37.4
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Irish1.4342 · 18 · 401.6248 · 18 · 343.05
Red Castle1.3138 · 18 · 441.5144 · 18 · 372.82
Arabian Falcons II1.3138 · 18 · 441.5044 · 18 · 382.81
Al Madinah Wanderers1.2837 · 18 · 451.4743 · 18 · 392.75
Circle Football1.2235 · 18 · 471.4141 · 18 · 412.62
Olympic1.1733 · 17 · 491.3639 · 18 · 422.53
Maracuja1.1031 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.36
Al Wahda II1.0830 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.35
PASS1.0830 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.35
Phoenix United1.0830 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.35
Stallions1.0830 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.35
Stryx FC1.0830 · 17 · 521.2736 · 18 · 452.35
Al Shahama1.0028 · 17 · 551.1833 · 18 · 482.17
Desert Falcon0.8623 · 16 · 601.0329 · 17 · 531.89
Al Jazira II0.8322 · 16 · 611.0028 · 17 · 541.83
ISE0.8322 · 16 · 611-20 pts0.83

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 37.6; the two differ only by simulation noise.

Group A with these results

ClubExpected TitleTop two
1ISE 57.0· 13%·24%·
2Al Jazira II 56.8· 13%·24%·
3Desert Falcon 55.8· 12%·23%·
4Al Shahama 50.4· 7%·14%·
5Stryx FC 46.8· 7%·13%·
6Al Wahda II 46.6· 6%·13%·
7Phoenix United 46.5· 6%·13%·
8PASS 46.4· 7%·13%·
9Stallions 46.3· 6%·12%·
10Maracuja 46.3· 6%·12%·
11Olympic 43.4· 5%·10%·
12Circle Football 41.8· 4%·8%·
13Al Madinah Wanderers 39.4· 3%·7%·
14Al Fath 37.6· 1%·4%·
15Arabian Falcons II 37.3· 2%·4%·
16Red Castle 37.3· 1%·4%·
17Irish 33.6· 1%·3%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.

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