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Al Fath
Al Fath are 5th in the Third Division with 15 points, 7 of 32 matches played. The forecast gives them 22% for a play-off place.
This season
- Record
- 7 played: 5 won, 0 drawn, 2 lost
- Goals
- 13-9 (+4)
- Home
- 2-0-2
- Away
- 3-0-0
- Form
- WLWWWW
- Likely final total
- 46 - 76
- Expected before the season
- 46.8
- Better than expected by
- +0.64 a game
Results and fixtures
What if
Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.
Al Fath
Al ShahamaASat 31 Oct
PASSHSun 8 Nov
Arabian Falcons IIASun 22 Nov
Al Wahda IIHSun 29 Nov
Al Jazira IIASat 5 Dec
Phoenix UnitedHSun 13 Dec
Red CastleASat 19 Dec
StallionsHSun 27 Dec
Stryx FCASun 3 Jan
ISEAFri 5 Feb
MaracujaHSun 14 Feb
Desert FalconAFri 19 Feb
IrishHSun 28 Feb
Circle FootballASun 7 Mar
Al Madinah WanderersHSun 21 Mar
OlympicASat 27 Mar
Al ShahamaHSun 4 Apr
PASSASun 11 Apr
Arabian Falcons IIHSun 18 Apr
Al Wahda IIASun 25 Apr
Al Jazira IIHSun 2 May
Phoenix UnitedAFri 7 May
Red CastleHSun 16 May
StallionsASat 22 May
Stryx FCHSun 30 May
| Outlook | Now | With these results |
|---|---|---|
| Title | 10% | 10%· |
| Play-offs | 22% | 22%· |
| Top four | 48% | 48%· |
| Expected final points | 61.1 | 61.1· |
Where the points come from
Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.
| Opponent | Away | Home | Both legs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Olympic | 2.2972 · 14 · 13 | 4-23 pts | 5.29 |
| Al Madinah Wanderers | 0-13 pts | 2.1868 · 15 · 16 | 5.18 |
| Maracuja | 0-13 pts | 2.1667 · 16 · 17 | 5.16 |
| Stallions | 2.3976 · 12 · 10 | 2.4980 · 10 · 8 | 4.88 |
| Irish | 1-23 pts | 1.8254 · 19 · 27 | 4.82 |
| PASS | 2.3072 · 14 · 13 | 2.4377 · 11 · 10 | 4.73 |
| Circle Football | 1.6649 · 20 · 31 | 2-13 pts | 4.66 |
| Stryx FC | 2.2570 · 14 · 14 | 2.3975 · 12 · 11 | 4.64 |
| Al Shahama | 1.8053 · 19 · 27 | 1.9860 · 18 · 22 | 3.77 |
| Red Castle | 1.6849 · 20 · 31 | 1.8856 · 19 · 25 | 3.56 |
| Arabian Falcons II | 1.6247 · 20 · 32 | 1.8254 · 19 · 26 | 3.44 |
| Phoenix United | 1.5344 · 20 · 35 | 1.7351 · 19 · 29 | 3.26 |
| Al Jazira II | 1.2134 · 20 · 46 | 1.4140 · 20 · 39 | 2.62 |
| Al Wahda II | 1.1231 · 20 · 49 | 1.3237 · 20 · 42 | 2.44 |
| Desert Falcon | 1.1231 · 20 · 49 | 2-30 pts | 1.12 |
| ISE | 1.0930 · 20 · 50 | 1-20 pts | 1.09 |
Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 61.1; the two differ only by simulation noise.
Group A with these results
| Pos | Club | Expected | Title | Play-offs |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ISE |
68.0· | 25%· | 45%· |
| 2 | Desert Falcon |
66.5· | 21%· | 40%· |
| 3 | Al Wahda II |
66.2· | 21%· | 39%· |
| 4 | Al Jazira II |
63.5· | 15%· | 30%· |
| 5 | Al Fath |
61.1· | 10%· | 22%· |
| 6 | Phoenix United |
51.7· | 3%· | 8%· |
| 7 | Irish |
49.3· | 1%· | 4%· |
| 8 | Arabian Falcons II |
48.8· | 1%· | 3%· |
| 9 | Circle Football |
48.6· | 2%· | 5%· |
| 10 | Red Castle |
46.4· | 1%· | 2%· |
| 11 | Al Shahama |
43.1· | <1%· | 1%· |
| 12 | Al Madinah Wanderers |
36.2· | <1%· | <1%· |
| 13 | Maracuja |
34.9· | <1%· | <1%· |
| 14 | Stryx FC |
24.1· | <1%· | <1%· |
| 15 | Olympic |
23.9· | <1%· | <1%· |
| 16 | PASS |
21.6· | <1%· | <1%· |
| 17 | Stallions |
17.9· | <1%· | <1%· |
Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.
Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.
Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.
Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.
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