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Al Madinah Wanderers

13th in the table · 6 Pts · Third Division 2026-27

Al Madinah Wanderers are 13th in the Third Division with 6 points, 6 of 32 matches played. The forecast gives them <1% for a play-off place.

This season

<1%
chance of the title
<1%
Play-offs
2%
Top four
36.2
expected final points
Record
6 played: 2 won, 0 drawn, 4 lost
Goals
8-12 (-4)
Home
1-0-2
Away
1-0-2
Form
WWLLLL
Likely final total
21 - 52
Expected before the season
39.9
Better than expected by
-0.18 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
15253545556575startR5R8

Results and fixtures

R1Sun 13 DecAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTStryx FC
R2Sun 13 SepISE2-3Al Madinah Wanderers
R3Sun 20 SepAl Madinah Wanderers2-1Maracuja
R4Fri 25 SepDesert Falcon1-0Al Madinah Wanderers
R5Fri 2 OctAl Madinah Wanderers1-4Irish
R6Sat 10 OctCircle Football3-2Al Madinah Wanderers
R7Fri 16 OctAl Madinah Wanderers0-1Al Fath
R9Sat 31 OctOlympic21:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R10Fri 6 NovAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTAl Shahama
R11Fri 20 NovPASS21:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R12Sun 29 NovAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTArabian Falcons II
R13Sat 5 DecAl Wahda II16:50GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R14Fri 11 DecAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTAl Jazira II
R15Fri 18 DecPhoenix United20:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R16Fri 25 DecAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTRed Castle
R17Sun 3 JanStallions21:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R18Sun 7 FebStryx FC21:30GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R19Sun 14 FebAl Madinah Wanderers21:30GSTISE
R20Sat 20 FebMaracuja21:30GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R21Fri 26 FebAl Madinah Wanderers21:30GSTDesert Falcon
R22Sat 6 MarIrish21:30GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R23Fri 12 MarAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTCircle Football
R24Sun 21 MarAl Fath18:40GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R26Sun 4 AprAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTOlympic
R27Sat 10 AprAl Shahama20:30GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R28Fri 16 AprAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTPASS
R29Sun 25 AprArabian Falcons II20:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R30Sun 2 MayAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTAl Wahda II
R31Fri 7 MayAl Jazira II18:10GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R32Fri 14 MayAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTPhoenix United
R33Sat 22 MayRed Castle19:00GSTAl Madinah Wanderers
R34Sat 29 MayAl Madinah Wanderers20:00GSTStallions

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Al Madinah Wanderers
R9OlympicASat 31 Oct
R10Al ShahamaHFri 6 Nov
R11PASSAFri 20 Nov
R12Arabian Falcons IIHSun 29 Nov
R13Al Wahda IIASat 5 Dec
R14Al Jazira IIHFri 11 Dec
R1Stryx FCHSun 13 Dec
R15Phoenix UnitedAFri 18 Dec
R16Red CastleHFri 25 Dec
R17StallionsASun 3 Jan
R18Stryx FCASun 7 Feb
R19ISEHSun 14 Feb
R20MaracujaASat 20 Feb
R21Desert FalconHFri 26 Feb
R22IrishASat 6 Mar
R23Circle FootballHFri 12 Mar
R24Al FathASun 21 Mar
R26OlympicHSun 4 Apr
R27Al ShahamaASat 10 Apr
R28PASSHFri 16 Apr
R29Arabian Falcons IIASun 25 Apr
R30Al Wahda IIHSun 2 May
R31Al Jazira IIAFri 7 May
R32Phoenix UnitedHFri 14 May
R33Red CastleASat 22 May
R34StallionsHSat 29 May
OutlookNowWith these results
Title<1%<1%·
Play-offs<1%<1%·
Top four2%2%·
Expected final points36.236.2·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

6
Taken so far
+
30.2
Still expected
=
36.2
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Maracuja1.2635 · 20 · 442-13 pts4.26
Stallions1.8154 · 19 · 271.9961 · 17 · 223.80
ISE2-33 pts0.6316 · 16 · 683.63
PASS1.6749 · 20 · 311.8656 · 18 · 253.53
Olympic1.6549 · 20 · 321.8455 · 19 · 263.49
Stryx FC1.6047 · 20 · 331.7954 · 19 · 273.39
Al Shahama1.0529 · 19 · 521.2535 · 20 · 452.30
Red Castle0.9626 · 19 · 551.1532 · 20 · 482.10
Arabian Falcons II0.9024 · 18 · 571.0930 · 20 · 511.99
Phoenix United0.8322 · 17 · 601.0127 · 19 · 541.84
Al Jazira II0.5814 · 15 · 700.7319 · 17 · 641.31
Al Wahda II0.5213 · 14 · 730.6617 · 16 · 671.18
Circle Football3-20 pts1.1331 · 20 · 491.13
Irish0.9024 · 18 · 571-40 pts0.90
Desert Falcon1-00 pts0.6617 · 16 · 670.66
Al Fath0.6416 · 15 · 680-10 pts0.64

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 36.2; the two differ only by simulation noise.

Group A with these results

PosClubExpected TitlePlay-offs
1ISE 68.0· 25%·45%·
2Desert Falcon 66.5· 21%·40%·
3Al Wahda II 66.2· 21%·39%·
4Al Jazira II 63.5· 15%·30%·
5Al Fath 61.1· 10%·22%·
6Phoenix United 51.7· 3%·8%·
7Irish 49.3· 1%·4%·
8Arabian Falcons II 48.8· 1%·3%·
9Circle Football 48.6· 2%·5%·
10Red Castle 46.4· 1%·2%·
11Al Shahama 43.1· <1%·1%·
12Al Madinah Wanderers 36.2· <1%·<1%·
13Maracuja 34.9· <1%·<1%·
14Stryx FC 24.1· <1%·<1%·
15Olympic 23.9· <1%·<1%·
16PASS 21.6· <1%·<1%·
17Stallions 17.9· <1%·<1%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.

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