HomeThird DivisionSeasons2025-26

Third Division 2025-26

The forecast as it stood then. Reconstructed with only the seasons before it, under the model chosen in advance. 10,000 simulated seasons.

The table after round 34
5101520253034
ClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormOutcome
1Modern Sport3226249328+6580WWWWWPromoted
2Rimal Al Sahra3222378431+5369LLLWWPromoted
3Forte Virtus II32214711021+8967LWWWW
4Nova Star3220579231+6165WLWWWPromoted
5Al Arabi II3219769837+6164WWWWW
6Al Madinah Wanderers32171058438+4661LWWWW
7Dubai City II3216799748+4955DWWDL
8Al Shahama3216797353+2055LWWDW
9G Reds32166107150+2154WWLWL
10Irish32116154964-1539LLWLL
11AFC32108145265-1338LWLDL
12Circle Football321121974107-3335LLLLL
13Falcon3287175772-1531WDLDL
14Dragon City3294194365-2231WWLWL
15Olympic3236231990-7115DDLLL
16United Sports32212930175-1457LLLLL
17Emerald32132824175-1516LLLLW
Top two

The UAE FA has not published what follows the group stage, so the top two of each group are shown as going up. Four up against two down from the Second Division is what that assumption implies, not a published rule.

Click a club to follow it through the charts below.

Results

Tue 19 MayIrish2-3Modern Sport
Tue 26 MayAl Shahama5-3Falcon
Sat 30 MayOlympic0-1Nova Star

What this round changed

The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 34.

Al Shahama beat Falcon 5-3+1.0chances unchanged
Falcon lost to Al Shahama 3-5−0.8chances unchanged
United Sports lost to Emerald 5-6+0.1chances unchanged
AFC lost to Al Madinah Wanderers 1-40.0chances unchanged
Al Arabi II beat Dubai City II 3-10.0chances unchanged

How tight the table is

Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.

01020304050607080Top twoEmeraldUnited SportsOlympicFalconDragon CityCircle FootballAFCIrishG RedsAl ShahamaDubai City IIAl Madinah WanderersAl Arabi IINova StarForte Virtus IIRimal Al SahraModern Sport

Position round by round

Where every club has actually stood after each round.

1234567891011121314151617R1R3R6R9R12R15R18R21R24R27R30R33R34AFCAl Arabi IIAl Madinah WanderersAl ShahamaCircle FootballDragon CityDubai City IIEmeraldFalconForte Virtus IIG RedsIrishModern SportNova StarOlympicRimal Al SahraUnited SportsFalconUnited SportsCircle FootballNova StarDubai City IIAFCAl Madinah WanderersRimal Al SahraDragon CityG RedsAl ShahamaForte Virtus IIModern SportEmeraldIrishAl Arabi IIOlympicModern SportModern SportRimal Al SahraRimal Al SahraForte Virtus IIForte Virtus IINova StarNova StarAl Arabi IIAl Arabi IIAl Madinah WanderersAl Madinah WanderersDubai City IIDubai City IIAl ShahamaAl ShahamaG RedsG RedsIrishIrishAFCAFCCircle FootballCircle FootballFalconFalconDragon CityDragon CityOlympicOlympicUnited SportsUnited SportsEmeraldEmerald
How to read this page

The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.

Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.

The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.