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Nova Star

4th in the table · 16 Pts · Second Division 2026-27

Nova Star are 4th in the Second Division with 16 points, 8 of 28 matches played. The forecast gives them 20% for promotion. Relegation is at <1%.

This season

9%
chance of the title
20%
Goes up
<1%
chance of going down
51.4
expected final points
Record
8 played: 5 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost
Goals
25-15 (+10)
Home
3-0-1
Away
2-1-1
Form
LWLWWD
Likely final total
40 - 62
Expected before the season
44.0
Better than expected by
+0.40 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
203040506070startR5R9

Results and fixtures

R2Fri 4 SepUnited II0-5Nova Star
R5Fri 25 SepNova Star3-1Al Rams
R7Fri 9 OctBaynounah2-3Nova Star
R9Sat 24 OctAl Ittihad1-1Nova Star
R10Fri 30 OctNova Star18:30GSTFursan Hispania
R11Sun 8 NovLegentus17:45GSTNova Star
R12Fri 20 NovNova Star18:30GSTModern Sport
R13Fri 27 NovPrecision21:00GSTNova Star
R14Fri 4 DecNova Star18:30GSTMasfout
R15Fri 11 DecRoyal21:00GSTNova Star
R16Sat 19 DecGulf United II18:00GSTNova Star
R17Fri 1 JanNova Star18:30GSTUnited II
R18Fri 5 FebRimal Al Sahra20:00GSTNova Star
R20Fri 19 FebAl Rams21:30GSTNova Star
R21Fri 26 FebNova Star21:30GSTArabian Falcons
R22Fri 5 MarNova Star21:30GSTBaynounah
R23Fri 12 MarForte Virtus II19:00GSTNova Star
R24Fri 19 MarNova Star18:30GSTAl Ittihad
R25Fri 26 MarFursan Hispania19:00GSTNova Star
R26Fri 2 AprNova Star18:30GSTLegentus
R27Sat 10 AprModern Sport21:00GSTNova Star
R28Fri 16 AprNova Star18:30GSTPrecision
R29Sat 24 AprMasfout17:55GSTNova Star
R30Fri 30 AprNova Star18:30GSTRoyal

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Nova Star
R10Fursan HispaniaHFri 30 Oct
R11LegentusASun 8 Nov
R12Modern SportHFri 20 Nov
R13PrecisionAFri 27 Nov
R14MasfoutHFri 4 Dec
R15RoyalAFri 11 Dec
R16Gulf United IIASat 19 Dec
R17United IIHFri 1 Jan
R18Rimal Al SahraAFri 5 Feb
R20Al RamsAFri 19 Feb
R21Arabian FalconsHFri 26 Feb
R22BaynounahHFri 5 Mar
R23Forte Virtus IIAFri 12 Mar
R24Al IttihadHFri 19 Mar
R25Fursan HispaniaAFri 26 Mar
R26LegentusHFri 2 Apr
R27Modern SportASat 10 Apr
R28PrecisionHFri 16 Apr
R29MasfoutASat 24 Apr
R30RoyalHFri 30 Apr
OutlookNowWith these results
Title9%9%·
Goes up20%20%·
Goes down<1%<1%·
Expected final points51.451.4·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

16
Taken so far
+
35.3
Still expected
=
51.3
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Gulf United II2.3674 · 14 · 116-23 pts5.36
United II0-53 pts2.3674 · 14 · 115.36
Baynounah2-33 pts2.2770 · 15 · 145.27
Al Rams1.9659 · 19 · 223-13 pts4.96
Royal2.2971 · 15 · 132.4176 · 13 · 104.70
Forte Virtus II1.6949 · 21 · 294-23 pts4.69
Legentus2.0562 · 18 · 192.2068 · 16 · 154.25
Precision1.6548 · 21 · 311.8254 · 20 · 263.46
Fursan Hispania1.4240 · 22 · 381.5946 · 21 · 333.02
Al Ittihad1-11 pts1.5946 · 21 · 332.59
Masfout1.1632 · 21 · 471.3337 · 22 · 412.50
Modern Sport1.1130 · 21 · 491.2735 · 22 · 432.38
Arabian Falcons4-30 pts1.6147 · 21 · 321.61
Rimal Al Sahra1.1431 · 21 · 480-30 pts1.14

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 51.4; the two differ only by simulation noise.

The whole division with these results

PosClubExpected TitleGoes upGoes down
1Modern Sport 58.8· 29%·52%·<1%·
2Rimal Al Sahra 58.1· 28%·49%·<1%·
3Masfout 57.0· 22%·42%·<1%·
4Nova Star 51.4· 9%·20%·<1%·
5Arabian Falcons 48.6· 4%·11%·<1%·
6Al Ittihad 48.3· 4%·12%·<1%·
7Fursan Hispania 48.1· 4%·11%·<1%·
8Precision 41.4· 1%·2%·<1%·
9Forte Virtus II 38.0· <1%·1%·1%·
10Al Rams 31.6· <1%·<1%·5%·
11Legentus 27.5· <1%·<1%·13%·
12Baynounah 24.2· <1%·<1%·24%·
13United II 20.6· <1%·<1%·42%·
14Royal 19.6· <1%·<1%·48%·
15Gulf United II 16.2· <1%·<1%·67%·

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.