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Nova Star

1st in the table · 6 Pts · Second Division 2026-27

Nova Star are 1st in the Second Division with 6 points, 2 of 28 matches played. The forecast gives them 43% for a top-two finish. Relegation is at <1%.

This season

25%
chance of the title
43%
Top two
<1%
chance of going down
55.6
expected final points
Record
2 played: 2 won, 0 drawn, 0 lost
Goals
11-2 (+9)
Home
1-0-0
Away
1-0-0
Form
WW
Likely final total
39 - 71
Expected before the season
44.4
Better than expected by
+1.29 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
203040506070startR2

Season by season

SeasonDivisionPosPWDLGDPtsOutcome
2026-27Second Division122100%00%00%+96100%In progress
2025-26Third Division4322063%516%722%+616568%Promoted

Results and fixtures

R2Fri 4 SepUnited II0-5Nova Star
R5Fri 25 SepNova Star·Al Rams
R7Fri 9 OctBaynounah·Nova Star
R9Sat 24 OctAl Ittihad·Nova Star
R11Sun 8 NovLegentus·Nova Star
R12Fri 20 NovNova Star·Modern Sport
R13Fri 27 NovPrecision·Nova Star
R14Fri 4 DecNova Star·Masfout
R15Fri 11 DecRoyal·Nova Star
R17Fri 1 JanNova Star·United II
R20Fri 19 FebAl Rams·Nova Star
R22Fri 5 MarNova Star·Baynounah
R24Fri 19 MarNova Star·Al Ittihad
R26Fri 2 AprNova Star·Legentus
R27Sat 10 AprModern Sport·Nova Star
R28Fri 16 AprNova Star·Precision
R29Sat 24 AprMasfout·Nova Star
R30Fri 30 AprNova Star·Royal

Cup record

FA Cup

SeasonHow farP
2025-26Out in the Round of 16 to Palm City3

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Nova Star
R3Rimal Al SahraHFri 11 Sep
R5Al RamsHFri 25 Sep
R6Arabian FalconsAFri 2 Oct
R7BaynounahAFri 9 Oct
R8Forte Virtus IIHFri 16 Oct
R9Al IttihadASat 24 Oct
R10Fursan HispaniaHFri 30 Oct
R11LegentusASun 8 Nov
R12Modern SportHFri 20 Nov
R13PrecisionAFri 27 Nov
R14MasfoutHFri 4 Dec
R15RoyalAFri 11 Dec
R16Gulf United IIASat 19 Dec
R17United IIHFri 1 Jan
R18Rimal Al SahraAFri 5 Feb
R20Al RamsAFri 19 Feb
R21Arabian FalconsHFri 26 Feb
R22BaynounahHFri 5 Mar
R23Forte Virtus IIAFri 12 Mar
R24Al IttihadHFri 19 Mar
R25Fursan HispaniaAFri 26 Mar
R26LegentusHFri 2 Apr
R27Modern SportASat 10 Apr
R28PrecisionHFri 16 Apr
R29MasfoutASat 24 Apr
R30RoyalHFri 30 Apr
NowWith these results
Title25%25%·
Top two43%43%·
Goes down<1%<1%·
Expected final points55.655.6·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

6
Taken so far
+
49.2
Still expected
=
55.2
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
United II0-53 pts2.2771 · 14 · 145.27
Gulf United II2.1366 · 16 · 176-23 pts5.13
Legentus2.1968 · 15 · 162.3172 · 13 · 134.50
Baynounah2.1767 · 16 · 162.2972 · 14 · 134.47
Fursan Hispania1.9358 · 18 · 232.0864 · 16 · 194.01
Forte Virtus II1.9258 · 18 · 232.0763 · 17 · 193.99
Al Rams1.9057 · 18 · 242.0563 · 17 · 203.95
Al Ittihad1.8455 · 19 · 261.9961 · 17 · 223.83
Royal1.8254 · 19 · 261.9760 · 18 · 223.80
Precision1.6749 · 20 · 311.8355 · 19 · 263.51
Arabian Falcons1.5746 · 20 · 341.7351 · 19 · 293.31
Masfout1.5043 · 20 · 361.6749 · 20 · 313.17
Rimal Al Sahra1.4843 · 20 · 371.6448 · 20 · 323.12
Modern Sport1.4742 · 20 · 381.6348 · 19 · 323.10

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 55.6; the two differ only by simulation noise.

The whole division with these results

ClubExpected TitleTop twoGoes down
1Nova Star 55.6· 25%·43%·<1%·
2Rimal Al Sahra 50.4· 16%·30%·2%·
3Modern Sport 50.3· 16%·30%·2%·
4Masfout 49.1· 11%·25%·2%·
5Arabian Falcons 47.5· 12%·23%·3%·
6Precision 44.4· 7%·15%·3%·
7Royal 39.8· 3%·8%·7%·
8Al Ittihad 38.4· 3%·7%·9%·
9Al Rams 37.1· 2%·6%·10%·
10Forte Virtus II 34.7· 1%·4%·14%·
11Fursan Hispania 34.6· 2%·5%·17%·
12Gulf United II 27.9· <1%·1%·29%·
13United II 26.9· <1%·1%·33%·
14Baynounah 26.4· <1%·1%·34%·
15Legentus 25.8· <1%·1%·35%·

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.