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UAE First Division 2018-19

From the UAE Football Association's own match feed. How this archive is made

The forecast as it stood then. Reconstructed with only the seasons before it, under the model chosen in advance. 10,000 simulated seasons.

The table after round 18
5101518
PosClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormOutcome
1Khor Fakkan1812242613+1338LWLWWPromoted
2Hatta1811433414+2037WWWWWPromoted
3Al Urooba1811432716+1137WWWDW
4Al Hamriyah189542817+1132WLWDL
5Dibba Al Hisn188552926+329LWDWL
6Masafi187471933-1425WLLLW
7Al Dhaid186392222021LLWWW
8Al Arabi1851122538-1316WLLLL
9Al Taawon1842122135-1414LWDLL
10Masfout1812151330-175LLLLL
Goes upGoes down

Click a club to follow it through the charts below.

Measured on 155 club-seasons from 12 past seasons: twenty rounds in, expected points were out by 2.8 on average, and the 80% range held 80% of the time. How this is measured

How tight the table is

Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.

01020304050540%25%50%75%100%Goes downGoes upMasfoutMasfoutAl TaawonAl TaawonAl ArabiAl ArabiAl DhaidAl DhaidMasafiMasafiDibba Al HisnDibba Al HisnAl HamriyahAl HamriyahAl UroobaAl UroobaHattaHattaKhor FakkanKhor Fakkan

Results

What this round changed

The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 18.

Al Urooba beat Dibba Al Hisn 2-0+1.5Goes up 30% to 0%
Hatta beat Al Hamriyah 1-0+1.5Goes up 58% to 100%
Al Dhaid beat Al Arabi 2-0+1.3chances unchanged
Dibba Al Hisn lost to Al Urooba 0-2−1.3chances unchanged
Al Hamriyah lost to Hatta 0-1−1.2Goes up 22% to 0%

Position round by round

Where every club has actually stood after each round.

12345678910R1R2R4R6R8R10R12R14R16R18Al ArabiAl DhaidAl HamriyahAl TaawonAl UroobaDibba Al HisnHattaKhor FakkanMasafiMasfoutAl HamriyahAl UroobaKhor FakkanAl DhaidAl TaawonDibba Al HisnMasafiHattaMasfoutAl ArabiKhor FakkanKhor FakkanHattaHattaAl UroobaAl UroobaAl HamriyahAl HamriyahDibba Al HisnDibba Al HisnMasafiMasafiAl DhaidAl DhaidAl ArabiAl ArabiAl TaawonAl TaawonMasfoutMasfout
How to read this page

The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.

Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.

The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.