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Al Arabi

1st in the table · 16 Pts · First Division 2026-27
Al Arabi Club · Umm Al Quwain

Al Arabi are 1st in the First Division with 16 points, 7 of 28 matches played. The forecast gives them 65% for promotion. Relegation is at <1%.

This season

41%
chance of the title
65%
Goes up
<1%
chance of going down
55.9
expected final points
Record
7 played: 5 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
Goals
17-10 (+7)
Home
2-1-0
Away
3-0-1
Form
WWDWWL
Likely final total
45 - 66
Expected before the season
45.3
Better than expected by
+0.72 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
3040506070startR5R7

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Al Arabi
R8Al DhaidHSun 1 Nov
R9Al IttifaqASat 7 Nov
R10Al Jazira Al HamraHFri 20 Nov
R12EmiratesAFri 4 Dec
R13Al HamriyahHFri 11 Dec
R14Dibba Al HisnAFri 18 Dec
R15Forte VirtusHFri 25 Dec
R16Palm CityHSun 3 Jan
R17FujairahASat 6 Feb
R18Al BataehHSat 13 Feb
R19Al UroobaASat 20 Feb
R20Dubai CityHSun 28 Feb
R21Gulf UnitedAFri 5 Mar
R22Dibba Al FujairahHFri 12 Mar
R23Al DhaidAFri 19 Mar
R24Al IttifaqHFri 2 Apr
R25Al Jazira Al HamraASat 10 Apr
R27EmiratesHFri 23 Apr
R28Al HamriyahAFri 30 Apr
R29Dibba Al HisnHFri 7 May
R30Forte VirtusAFri 14 May
OutlookNowWith these results
Title41%41%·
Goes up65%65%·
Goes down<1%<1%·
Expected final points55.955.9·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

16
Taken so far
+
39.8
Still expected
=
55.8
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Dubai City2-33 pts2.3874 · 15 · 105.38
Gulf United2.1465 · 19 · 162-13 pts5.14
Palm City2-53 pts2.1365 · 19 · 165.13
Fujairah1.8253 · 22 · 244-13 pts4.82
Al Bataeh1-23 pts1.8053 · 22 · 254.80
Al Ittifaq2.1565 · 19 · 162.2669 · 17 · 134.41
Al Jazira Al Hamra2.1365 · 19 · 162.2469 · 18 · 144.37
Forte Virtus1.8354 · 22 · 241.9558 · 21 · 213.79
Al Hamriyah1.7651 · 23 · 261.8956 · 22 · 233.65
Emirates1.7250 · 23 · 271.8554 · 22 · 243.57
Dibba Al Hisn1.6547 · 23 · 291.7852 · 23 · 263.43
Al Dhaid1.6346 · 24 · 301.7551 · 23 · 263.37
Al Urooba1.4841 · 24 · 351-11 pts2.48
Dibba Al Fujairah2-00 pts1.4641 · 24 · 351.46

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 55.9; the two differ only by simulation noise.

The whole division with these results

PosClubExpected TitleGoes upGoes down
1Al Arabi 55.9· 41%·65%·<1%·
2Dibba Al Fujairah 53.5· 30%·53%·<1%·
3Al Urooba 46.5· 9%·22%·1%·
4Al Dhaid 44.0· 4%·13%·1%·
5Emirates 42.3· 3%·9%·1%·
6Dibba Al Hisn 42.2· 4%·11%·2%·
7Al Hamriyah 42.1· 3%·8%·1%·
8Forte Virtus 41.8· 3%·9%·2%·
9Al Bataeh 39.9· 2%·5%·3%·
10Fujairah 37.8· 1%·3%·4%·
11Palm City 35.1· 1%·2%·11%·
12Gulf United 28.8· <1%·<1%·29%·
13Al Jazira Al Hamra 27.7· <1%·<1%·34%·
14Al Ittifaq 26.1· <1%·<1%·43%·
15Dubai City 22.2· <1%·<1%·65%·

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.