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Third Division 2023-24
The forecast as it stood then. Reconstructed with only the seasons before it, under the model chosen in advance. 10,000 simulated seasons.
| Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | Form | Outcome | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arabian Falcons | 29 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 107 | 22 | +85 | 81 | WWWWW | Promoted |
| 2 |  Precision | 30 | 23 | 1 | 6 | 118 | 32 | +86 | 70 | WWWWW | Promoted |
| 3 |  Legentus | 29 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 79 | 39 | +40 | 62 | WWWWL | Promoted |
| 4 |  Madenat | 29 | 18 | 4 | 7 | 81 | 31 | +50 | 58 | WWWWD | Promoted |
| 5 |  Falcon | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 58 | 40 | +18 | 55 | DWWWW | |
| 6 |  G Reds | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 64 | 38 | +26 | 53 | WLLLW | |
| 7 |  Irish | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 50 | -10 | 42 | DWLLL | |
| 8 |  Gulf United II | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 38 | DWLLW | |
| 9 |  Al Gharbia | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 65 | -11 | 34 | DWLLD | |
| 10 |  Sport Support | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 85 | -37 | 30 | DLWWD | |
| 11 |  Al Ittihad | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 41 | 63 | -22 | 26 | LLLLD | |
| 12 |  Sporty FC | 29 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 36 | 80 | -44 | 23 | LDLLL | |
| 13 |  Emerald | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 38 | 74 | -36 | 22 | DLLLW | |
| 14 |  Dubai City II | 29 | 7 | 1 | 21 | 36 | 92 | -56 | 22 | LWLLL | |
| 15 |  Sporting | 29 | 6 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 107 | -67 | 22 | LLWLL | |
| 16 |  PE Sports | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 50 | -22 | 16 | LLDLL |
The UAE FA has not published what follows the group stage, so the top two of each group are shown as going up. Four up against two down from the Second Division is what that assumption implies, not a published rule.
Click a club to follow it through the charts below.
Results
Clubs
Click any club in the table or on a chart to see its card here.
What this round changed
The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 30.
Falcon beat Legentus 3-2+2.0chances unchangedLegentus lost to Falcon 2-3−1.8Top two 7% to 0%Gulf United II beat Sporty FC 2-0+1.3chances unchangedSporty FC lost to Gulf United II 0-2−1.0chances unchangedPrecision beat Irish 6-1+0.9Top two 93% to 100%How tight the table is
Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.
Position round by round
Where every club has actually stood after each round.
How to read this page
The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.
Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.
The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.
Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.
Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.