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Shabab Al Ahli

4th in the table · 10 Pts · Pro League 2026-27
Rashid Stadium · Dubai · 12,052 seats

Shabab Al Ahli are 4th in the Pro League with 10 points, 5 of 26 matches played. The forecast gives them 68% for an AFC place. Relegation is at <1%.

This season

12%
chance of the title
68%
AFC place
<1%
chance of going down
49.3
expected final points
Record
5 played: 3 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
Goals
10-5 (+5)
Home
1-0-1
Away
2-1-0
Form
WWWLD
Likely final total
39 - 59
Expected before the season
48.0
Better than expected by
+0.12 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
3040506070startR5

Season by season

SeasonDivisionPosPWDLGDPtsOutcome
2026-27Pro League45360%120%120%+51067%In progress
2025-26Pro League2261765%727%28%+425874%
2024-25Pro League1261973%623%14%+356381%
2023-24Pro League2261869%415%415%+395874%
2022-23Pro League1261765%623%312%+285773%
2021-22Pro League5261246%623%831%+34254%
Last 5 seasons26.016.664%5.822%3.614%+29.455.671%per seasonof matches
2020-21Pro League3261350%1142%28%+225064%
2019-20Pro League1191368%421%211%+284375%
2018-19Pro League2261765%28%727%+215368%
2017-18Pro League522732%1045%523%+73147%
2016-17Pro League3261662%831%28%+325672%
2015-16Pro League1262181%312%28%+406685%
2014-15Pro League7261038%831%831%+83849%
2013-14Pro League1262077%415%28%+286482%
2012-13Pro League2261558%727%415%+325267%
2011-12Pro League5221045%418%836%+33452%
2010-11Pro League822732%627%941%-122741%
2009-10Pro League822732%523%1045%-12639%
2008-09Pro League1221777%418%15%+295583%
2007-08Pro League3221045%732%523%+203756%
2006-07Pro League7221045%00%1255%-13045%
2005-06Pro League1221464%523%314%+204771%
2004-05Pro League7261142%623%935%+183950%
2003-04Pro League Championship stage26467%117%117%+51372%
2003-04Pro League Group B110770%00%330%+112170%
2002-03Pro League322941%732%627%+113452%
2001-02Pro League522836%627%836%+73045%
2000-01Pro League2221359%314%627%+114264%
1999-00Pro League622941%523%836%+143248%
1998-99Pro League5331545%721%1133%+155253%
1997-98Pro League Championship stage414536%321%643%-11843%
1997-98Pro League First stage818739%211%950%-22343%
1995-96Pro League101816%950%844%-101222%Relegated
1994-95Pro League718422%844%633%-71644%
1993-94Pro League518739%528%633%+101953%
1992-93Pro League622941%627%732%+22455%
1991-92Pro League6301550%723%827%+163762%
1989-90Pro League6261246%415%1038%+82854%
1988-89Pro League1122418%523%1359%-181330%
1987-88Pro League322941%836%523%+163553%
1985-86Pro League418950%422%528%2261%
1983-84Pro League318950%739%211%+122569%
1979-80Pro League1
1975-76Pro League1
1974-75Pro League110990%00%110%+271890%
1973-74Pro League Championship stage2200%2100%00%0250%

Cup record

President's Cup

SeasonHow farP
2025-26Out in the Semi-finals to Al Jazira3
2024-25Won the cup4
2023-24Out in the Semi-finals to Al Nasr3
2022-23Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Ain3
2021-22Out in the Quarter-finals to Sharjah2
2020-21Won the cup4
2019-20Out in the Quarter-finals to Baniyas2
2018-19Won the cup4
2017-18Out in the Semi-finals to Al Ain3
2016-17Out in the Round of 16 to Al Ain1
2015-16Out in the Semi-finals to Al Jazira3
2014-15Out in the Final to Al Nasr4
2013-14Out in the Final to Al Ain4
2012-13Won the cup4
2011-12Out in the Round of 16 to Al Wasl1
2010-11Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Wasl3
2009-10Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Shabab2
2008-09Out in the Round of 16 to Baniyas1
2007-08Won the cup5
2006-07Out in the Semi-finals to Al Wasl3
2005-06Out in the Round of 16 to Al Wasl2
2004-05Out in the Semi-finals to Al Wahda3
2003-04Won the cup16

ADIB Cup

SeasonHow farP
2025-26Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Nasr2
2024-25Out in the Final to Al Jazira7
2023-24Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Wasl2
2022-23Out in the Quarter-finals to Al Jazira2
2021-22Out in the Final to Al Ain5
2020-21Won the cup7
2019-20Out in the Final to Al Nasr9
2018-19Won the cup9
2017-18Out in the Semi-finals to Al Wasl9
2016-17Won the cup8
2015-16Out in the Semi-finals to Al Shabab7
2014-15Group B, finished 46
2013-14Won the cup8
2012-13Group C, finished 36
2011-12Won the cup12
2010-11Group B, finished 610
2009-10Group 1, finished 36
2008-09Out in the Semi-finals to Al Wahda8

FA Cup

SeasonHow farP
2006-07Out in the Final to Al Jazira6
2005-06Group 2, finished 22
2004-05Out in the Final to Al Ain5

Super Cup

SeasonHow farP
2025-26Out in the Final to Sharjah1
2024-25Won the cup1
2023-24Won the cup1
2021-22Out in the Final to Al Jazira1
2020-21Won the cup1
2019-20Out in the Final to Sharjah1
2016-17Won the cup1
2014-15Won the cup1
2013-14Won the cup1
2009-10Out in the Final to Al Ain1
2008-09Won the cup1

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Shabab Al Ahli
R6Al AinH
R7Ittihad KalbaH
R8SharjahA
R9AjmanH
R10Al NasrA
R11BaniyasA
R12Al WahdaH
R13HattaA
R14Khor FakkanH
R15Al JaziraA
R16BaniyasH
R17UnitedH
R18Al AinA
R19Al NasrH
R20Ittihad KalbaA
R21Al WaslH
R22Al DhafraA
R23SharjahH
R24Al WahdaA
R25AjmanA
R26HattaH
NowWith these results
Title12%12%·
AFC place68%68%·
Goes down<1%<1%·
Expected final points49.349.3·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

10
Taken so far
+
39.3
Still expected
=
49.3
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Al Dhafra2.2068 · 17 · 152-03 pts5.20
Khor Fakkan1-53 pts2.1265 · 18 · 175.12
Hatta2.2268 · 17 · 142.3774 · 15 · 114.59
Al Wasl0-13 pts1.5945 · 23 · 324.59
Baniyas2.1867 · 18 · 152.3473 · 15 · 124.52
Ittihad Kalba2.1264 · 18 · 172.2871 · 16 · 134.40
Al Nasr1.7852 · 22 · 261.9859 · 20 · 213.76
Sharjah1.6748 · 22 · 291.8755 · 21 · 243.55
Al Wahda1.6748 · 22 · 291.8755 · 21 · 243.54
Ajman1.5745 · 23 · 331.7752 · 22 · 263.34
United1-11 pts2.2067 · 17 · 153.20
Al Ain0.9926 · 22 · 521.1832 · 23 · 452.18
Al Jazira1.2835 · 23 · 421-30 pts1.28

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 49.3; the two differ only by simulation noise.

The whole division with these results

ClubExpected TitleAFC placeGoes down
1Al Ain 57.9· 51%·93%·<1%·
2Al Jazira 52.7· 22%·81%·<1%·
3Shabab Al Ahli 49.3· 12%·68%·<1%·
4Al Wasl 47.4· 8%·59%·<1%·
5Ajman 44.0· 4%·39%·<1%·
6Sharjah 40.5· 2%·26%·1%·
7Al Wahda 37.8· 1%·17%·2%·
8Al Nasr 34.6· <1%·9%·4%·
9United 30.3· <1%·3%·9%·
10Khor Fakkan 30.1· <1%·4%·12%·
11Ittihad Kalba 23.6· <1%·1%·33%·
12Hatta 22.8· <1%·<1%·38%·
13Al Dhafra 20.2· <1%·<1%·50%·
14Baniyas 20.1· <1%·<1%·51%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-09-11.

Results and fixtures come from the UAE Football Association feed and the Pro League. The archive is from the UAE FA, RSSSF and Wikipedia; where sources disagree the correction is recorded beside what it changed.