NATEEJA.FOOTBALLThe result, before the result

Home › Pro League › Shabab Al Ahli

Shabab Al Ahli

3rd in the table · 13 Pts · Pro League 2026-27
Rashid Stadium · Dubai · 12,052 seats

Shabab Al Ahli are 3rd in the Pro League with 13 points, 6 of 26 matches played. The forecast gives them 83% for an AFC place. Relegation is at <1%.

This season

28%
chance of the title
83%
AFC place
<1%
chance of going down
53.3
expected final points
Record
6 played: 4 won, 1 drawn, 1 lost
Goals
12-5 (+7)
Home
2-0-1
Away
2-1-0
Form
WWWLDW
Likely final total
43 - 63
Expected before the season
47.8
Better than expected by
+0.38 a game
Expected final points, round by round, with the 80% range
3040506070startR5R6

Results and fixtures

R1Sat 15 AugKhor Fakkan1-5Shabab Al Ahli
R2Sat 22 AugShabab Al Ahli2-0Al Dhafra
R3Fri 28 AugAl Wasl0-1Shabab Al Ahli
R4Sat 5 SepShabab Al Ahli1-3Al Jazira
R5Thu 10 SepUnited1-1Shabab Al Ahli
R6Sat 17 OctShabab Al Ahli2-0Al Ain
R7Fri 30 OctShabab Al Ahli19:35GSTIttihad Kalba
R8Sat 7 NovSharjah19:30GSTShabab Al Ahli
R9Fri 20 NovShabab Al Ahli19:25GSTAjman
R10Fri 4 DecAl Nasr19:25GSTShabab Al Ahli
R11Sat 12 DecBaniyas16:45GSTShabab Al Ahli
R12Fri 25 DecShabab Al Ahli19:40GSTAl Wahda
R13Tue 29 DecHatta16:55GSTShabab Al Ahli
R14Shabab Al Ahli–Khor Fakkan
R15Al Jazira–Shabab Al Ahli
R16Shabab Al Ahli–Baniyas
R17Shabab Al Ahli–United
R18Al Ain–Shabab Al Ahli
R19Shabab Al Ahli–Al Nasr
R20Ittihad Kalba–Shabab Al Ahli
R21Shabab Al Ahli–Al Wasl
R22Al Dhafra–Shabab Al Ahli
R23Shabab Al Ahli–Sharjah
R24Al Wahda–Shabab Al Ahli
R25Ajman–Shabab Al Ahli
R26Shabab Al Ahli–Hatta

– : the league has not set the date yet.

Cups

ADIB Cup · Round 1
Sat 19 SepHamdan Bin Rashid StadiumHatta2-2Shabab Al Ahli
ADIB Cup · Round 2
Fri 2 OctRashid StadiumShabab Al Ahli1-1Al Nasr
ADIB Cup · Round 3
Thu 8 OctRashid StadiumShabab Al Ahli2-1United
President's Cup
Thu 22 OctRashid StadiumShabab Al Ahli3-2Al Ain
ADIB Cup · Round 4
Sun 15 NovKalba Union StadiumIttihad Kalba19:30GSTShabab Al Ahli17%19%64%
Super Cup · Round 1
Sun 29 NovMohammed bin Zayed StadiumAl Ain19:30GSTShabab Al Ahli46%22%32%

What if

Pick results for any of the remaining matches. The forecast is refitted as if they had happened.

Shabab Al Ahli
R7Ittihad KalbaHFri 30 Oct
R8SharjahASat 7 Nov
R9AjmanHFri 20 Nov
R10Al NasrAFri 4 Dec
R11BaniyasASat 12 Dec
R12Al WahdaHFri 25 Dec
R13HattaATue 29 Dec
R14Khor FakkanH
R15Al JaziraA
R16BaniyasH
R17UnitedH
R18Al AinA
R19Al NasrH
R20Ittihad KalbaA
R21Al WaslH
R22Al DhafraA
R23SharjahH
R24Al WahdaA
R25AjmanA
R26HattaH
OutlookNowWith these results
Title28%28%·
AFC place83%83%·
Goes down<1%<1%·
Expected final points53.353.3·

Where the points come from

Points taken so far, and the points expected from each fixture still to play: three times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw.

13
Taken so far
+
40.2
Still expected
=
53.2
Total
OpponentAwayHomeBoth legs
Khor Fakkan1-53 pts2.2770 · 16 · 135.27
Al Dhafra2.1566 · 18 · 162-03 pts5.15
Hatta2.3975 · 14 · 102.5280 · 12 · 84.90
Baniyas2.3071 · 16 · 122.4477 · 13 · 94.74
Al Wasl0-13 pts1.6748 · 22 · 294.67
Ittihad Kalba2.1164 · 19 · 172.2871 · 16 · 134.39
Al Ain1.1832 · 22 · 462-03 pts4.18
Ajman1.8956 · 21 · 232.0863 · 19 · 183.97
Al Nasr1.8454 · 21 · 242.0361 · 20 · 193.86
Sharjah1.7852 · 22 · 261.9759 · 20 · 213.75
Al Wahda1.6447 · 22 · 301.8454 · 21 · 243.49
United1-11 pts2.3573 · 15 · 113.35
Al Jazira1.4340 · 23 · 371-30 pts1.43

Small figures under an unplayed match are the win, draw and loss chances. The season simulation puts the club on 53.3; the two differ only by simulation noise.

The whole division with these results

PosClubExpected TitleAFC placeGoes down
1Al Ain 54.8· 36%·88%·<1%·
2Shabab Al Ahli 53.3· 28%·83%·<1%·
3Al Jazira 50.7· 18%·75%·<1%·
4Al Wasl 49.0· 12%·68%·<1%·
5Al Wahda 43.5· 3%·37%·<1%·
6Sharjah 41.1· 2%·26%·1%·
7Al Nasr 36.5· <1%·9%·1%·
8Ajman 36.0· <1%·10%·2%·
9Ittihad Kalba 28.3· <1%·1%·14%·
10United 27.5· <1%·1%·17%·
11Khor Fakkan 27.1· <1%·1%·17%·
12Al Dhafra 26.9· <1%·1%·18%·
13Baniyas 18.6· <1%·<1%·63%·
14Hatta 18.3· <1%·<1%·66%·

Pick a result above and every club's figures move to match.

Chosen results change what the model thinks of the club, as real results would. 4,000 seasons, run in your browser.

Follow

Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.

About·How this archive is made·Contact·Terms·Privacy·Sign in