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UAE Pro League 2016-17

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The forecast as it stood then. Reconstructed with only the seasons before it, under the model chosen in advance. 10,000 simulated seasons.

The table after round 26
51015202526
PosClubPWDLGFGAGDPtsFormOutcome
1Al Jazira2622227215+5768WWWWW
2Al Wasl2617635526+2957DWWWW
3Shabab Al Ahli2616825018+3256DWDDW
4Al Ain2617455837+2155WLWWW
5Al Wahda2610975440+1439WLLDD
6Al Nasr26113124232+1036WLDLL
7Al Dhafra26105114046-635LWLWL
8Al Shabab2679102444-2030DLWLDMerged
9Sharjah2668123147-1626DWDLD
10Hatta2667132447-2325DWLLL
11Emirates2655163351-1820LLWDW
12Dibba Al Fujairah26311122554-2920LLLDD
13Ittihad Kalba2647153044-1419LDLDLRelegated
14Baniyas2636173370-3715DDDDLRelegated
AFC placeGoes down

Click a club to follow it through the charts below.

Measured on 152 club-seasons from 11 past seasons: twenty rounds in, expected points were out by 2.3 on average, and the 80% range held 86% of the time. How this is measured

How tight the table is

Every club on one line by expected final points, with the zones shaded.

010203040506070780%25%50%75%100%Goes downAFC placeBaniyasBaniyasIttihad KalbaIttihad KalbaDibba Al FujairahDibba Al FujairahEmiratesEmiratesHattaHattaSharjahSharjahAl ShababAl ShababAl DhafraAl DhafraAl NasrAl NasrAl WahdaAl WahdaAl AinAl AinShabab Al AhliShabab Al AhliAl WaslAl WaslAl JaziraAl Jazira

Results

Fri 12 MayAl Jazira4-0Al Dhafra
Sat 13 MayAl Ain2-1Ittihad Kalba
Sat 13 MayHatta0-1Al Wasl
Sat 13 MayShabab Al Ahli2-1Baniyas
Sat 13 MayDibba Al Fujairah2-2Sharjah
Sat 13 MayEmirates1-0Al Nasr
Sat 13 MayAl Shabab1-1Al Wahda

What this round changed

The five clubs whose expected finish moved most in round 26.

Emirates beat Al Nasr 1-0+1.9Goes down 74% to 0%
Al Nasr lost to Emirates 0-1−1.7chances unchanged
Al Wasl beat Hatta 1-0+1.0AFC place 85% to 100%
Hatta lost to Al Wasl 0-1−0.8chances unchanged
Al Jazira beat Al Dhafra 4-0+0.7chances unchanged

Position round by round

Where every club has actually stood after each round.

1234567891011121314R1R3R6R9R12R15R18R21R24R26Al AinAl DhafraAl JaziraAl NasrAl ShababAl WahdaAl WaslBaniyasDibba Al FujairahEmiratesHattaIttihad KalbaShabab Al AhliSharjahShabab Al AhliAl NasrAl JaziraAl ShababAl AinIttihad KalbaAl WahdaHattaSharjahBaniyasDibba Al FujairahAl DhafraAl WaslEmiratesAl JaziraAl JaziraAl WaslAl WaslShabab Al AhliShabab Al AhliAl AinAl AinAl WahdaAl WahdaAl NasrAl NasrAl DhafraAl DhafraAl ShababAl ShababSharjahSharjahHattaHattaEmiratesEmiratesDibba Al FujairahDibba Al FujairahIttihad KalbaIttihad KalbaBaniyasBaniyas
How to read this page

The slider moves the whole page back through the season. Everything below it is the forecast as it stood after that round, not a replay of what was published at the time.

Table is the real table. Forecast is the same clubs ordered by expected final points, with the chance of each outcome beside them. Compare lets you pick up to four clubs and follow them through every table and chart.

The percentages on the coming round are the chance of a home win, a draw and an away win. Only the next round carries them.

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Independent forecasts with no connection to the UAE Football Association or the UAE Pro League. Club crests are the clubs' own, shown for identification. Built 2026-10-27.

Scores, kickoff times, grounds and player numbers come from the UAE Football Association feed. The Pro League calendar and its full-time confirmation come from the Pro League’s own site, which schedules further ahead and marks a match finished first.

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